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What in the Sam Hill is going on? Why do you want to fork Bitcoin?

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Well, you know, I was a Bitcoin maximalist basically my entire life until now.

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But really, I have some concerns.

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And I think that competition is, you know, the cure for all ills.

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And I think we've been complacent and overconfident for a long time.

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I mean, one thing is we were on the security budget panel.

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So we were like the four of us were like the four doom and gloom people.

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But then opposite us is most of like Twitter.

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Most of like the culture is just saying, oh, Bitcoin is perfect.

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Bitcoin is immortal.

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Don't break Bitcoin.

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Like that was the up next message was don't break Bitcoin for, you know,

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until we got this quantum distraction.

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But we get to that.

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But then it was like, you know, like Michael Saylor's like Bitcoin is hope.

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Jimmy Song is like Bitcoin is God.

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So we got all this like everything's perfect.

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But then some of us have, you know, a few concerns.

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And I have a lot of concerns and I wrote a lot of them down for years.

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And I'm just worried about like, I think we're going in the wrong direction.

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And I think not only do we have these problems,

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but we get less and less honest about them over time.

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And we have more and more in denial about them.

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And so that's a situation where instead of just having a perfect ingredient

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with like one or two problems, we have something that's

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attitude that's spreading. That is.

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Yeah. Yeah.

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I think before we go other than that, it's going perfectly in Bitcoin.

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Well, before we get into like the specifics of the fork,

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I want to you, you know, I hadn't read, you know, we went

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we went to Vegas shortly after you announced this force.

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I didn't really have time to like dive into the eCash dot com and the

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and your rationale.

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And I'll kind of invite you to reprise what you're saying here, which is

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which is, I think, on the number number four of your Q&A.

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Do you really think that a fork, your new coin that can defeat Bitcoin?

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What's what's your response?

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Well, you know, honestly, I'm glad that you asked that,

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because I think a lot of people, you know, jump to conclusions.

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So I'd like to clarify that I don't plan on selling BTC.

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The way I see it is this.

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We're on the Titanic and we are headed sort of for an iceberg.

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I think we'll probably miss the iceberg.

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So I think it's less than 50 percent chance.

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But, you know, if we hit that iceberg, we're all going to die.

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And, you know, it's women and children first.

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So we're going to freeze.

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You and I will be freezing to death.

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That doesn't appeal to me.

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So I'm like sawing apart all the deck chairs and like the dining room table.

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I'm trying to make more life rafts, you know, like really, really fast.

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And I got to tell you, also, one thing that maybe I didn't emphasize

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is that I think we'll miss the iceberg.

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So maybe there's only a 20 percent chance we'll hit.

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And I also think the eCash, it might not be enough to save our lives

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if we hit the iceberg.

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So I think I'm actually going to miss twice.

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This is giving a lot of people an opportunity to point and laugh.

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I'm happy to avail them of that opportunity or whatever, you know,

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do get whatever you like.

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But I think honestly, we may be in for a rough time

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because it's very difficult to change culture anywhere, especially in Bitcoin.

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And I think also it's very difficult to fight the network effect.

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So I don't know.

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But yeah, I think basically there will only be one winning cryptocurrency,

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which is part of why I was a maximalist this whole time.

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That view has not changed one bit.

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So I just think maybe it will be a different one than BTC

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and it will be one that preserves the ownership.

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So I think the ownership set is much more important than people give credit for.

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And I can give a couple examples of that.

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But I think a lot of people intuitively already know that.

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But other people, I think, really believe

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there's something magical about what Bitcoin Core is doing

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and that they're just really great developers,

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even though they haven't developed anything in 99.99 percent of the ideas

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came from Satoshi.

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And instead, we've just done new ideas that are that suck and are terrible.

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So it's a SegWit taproot and lightning network,

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which have all been a complete waste of time

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and have derailed the whole growth of the industry.

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So, Paul, one quick question.

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And then I would love for you to kind of lay the background here

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for some of our listeners

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who are not familiar with the proposal of exactly what the eCash fork does.

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But I guess a tag on question to that before you explain

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what the fork is trying to accomplish and the changes it makes.

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It would per your last point, would success for you

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then look like eCash being the number one cryptocurrency?

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Right. It would. Yeah.

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I think they'll only be number one.

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They'll only be one that wins, I think.

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And even in the long run, many of the fiat currencies will kill themselves also.

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So I don't know exactly what the far future looks like.

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It might be like dollar and crypto, which is like dollars.

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Like, you know, my friend, I have a very funny friend,

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but he would call them like slave bucks or whatever.

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He would say they'll be like the the regulated mainstream one.

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And then they'll be like the Internet, like confusing one.

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That's like for the Uberman.

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But, you know, it could just be that, you know, one takes over.

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Yeah, I don't I don't really get that much the need for like,

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you know, 55 cryptocurrencies.

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OK, so sorry.

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I have a I want to I want to inject a question here.

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OK, so Paul, in your in your justification, it's it's honestly pretty compelling.

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I respect the like arguments you give for why you're doing this.

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A lot of it is you want to provide a viable competitive alternative.

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If hypothetical scenario, if eCash somehow is able to spark

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a change in culture and direction for the Bitcoin network,

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would you consider that a success?

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Yes. Yes, absolutely. OK.

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Yeah. So, Paul, just give us give our listeners a quick rundown

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of the most salient changes as you see them in the eCash fork.

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What are what are you what are you trying to change?

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I think, well, one of them, there's two things about it

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that I think people could wrap their head around.

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One is I'm really trying not to change as much as possible.

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So that's I'm going to unpack that in a second.

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But then secondly, you know, I'm a big show for these merge mined L2s

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called Drivechains.

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That's really the meat of it.

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But these are kind of related because I can activate Drivechains

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without changing any lines of code in Bitcoin core.

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So that's also what I think we should do in BTC right now with Bitcoin core.

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We should just do that.

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We can activate this software without changing any lines of code in BTC.

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That's also what I plan on doing on eCash.

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But really, I think I'm one of the few people, maybe I'm perhaps the only one.

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I'm not sure.

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But I'm doing this hard fork where I'm not really betting on

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me being a benevolent dictator of the fork.

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So like the L1 is going to be exactly the same as Bitcoin core in every way.

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And that is to invite anyone who likes Bitcoin core over to the L1

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because it's going to be basically exactly the same both now and in the future.

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And that's for many of the L2s.

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Many of them will will try to be very similar to successful altcoins,

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such as Zcash and, you know, other other ones that actually have a point.

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Monero, they have like an actual purpose to them.

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And so I'm trying to give everyone what they want.

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And as you can imagine, that has made me a very hated figure on Twitter

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because people don't like it when you give them what they want,

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because that makes everything else they've had in their mind look bad by

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by comparison. But but that's really the idea is for me.

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I'm not I'm very agnostic.

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Like I pass no judgment on what the user wants.

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So when Roger Ver says he wants large blocks, I just say, well, that's that's true.

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But other people say, oh, you know, he shouldn't want that or he actually wants

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something else. He actually wants a lightning network or something like that.

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And then same thing when like people do Monero for privacy.

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People say, well, people try to say that's an insincere want.

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But I try to give everyone what they want.

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That's why that's my shtick.

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So it sounds like you embrace the reality that they're just irreconcilable

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differences of opinion and you try to say, OK, well, in that case, then

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then your Drivechain implementation at least allows for people to express

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those differences of opinion while somehow being related to the same network.

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Am I understanding that correctly?

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That's exactly right.

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And also, that's part of why I'm so dismayed that it's not hasn't been prioritized.

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So, of course, it sort of hurts my feelings a little bit

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that we're not we don't jump at my ideas and jumps the front of the line for
everyone.

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But, you know, I can get over that.

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First of all, like we haven't done any ideas like we haven't done

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OP_CAT or something, which is 13 lines of code.

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And that was in the original client.

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And so I think we've lost the ability to soft fork.

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That's why I think this this issue, this whole issue is very, very, very

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like high dimensional.

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So you have to like people have different like groups where they think,

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you know, like we should ossify or they think, you know, Paul is just bitter

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about his idea not being respected.

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But I think it's really hard.

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If you consider all the facts, I think it's bizarre that this idea is not.

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This is kind of a meta idea.

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So this idea says, I mean, we've been losing people constantly left and right.

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So like we originally lost the large blockers in the scaling war.

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Then we had to bet everything on lightning,

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even though lightning basically doesn't work.

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And it certainly cannot scale to eight billion people,

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which is the whole shtick upon it.

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And that's what, you know, big cultural leaders, you know, I've seen Michael

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Saylor say many times like, oh, Bitcoin will scale through using lightning

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and these other layer twos and layer three protocol.

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This is just like a thing.

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But this is the idea in everyone's head.

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And then, of course, like on.

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You know, on Nostra, on Primal, like they have everyone

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they have a little lightning icon is everywhere,

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even though none of the users, the lightning network.

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So the whole thing has become again, this speaks to my point

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about bad ideas spreading and like we have like a zombie team

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that's like biting people and infecting people, it's flipping, you know.

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And so it can be can go really fast as to whether.

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But anyway, the point I'm trying to make is we've been losing people.

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We lost the large blockers.

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We lost the privacy people to like Monero, basically, and see cash.

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We lost the darknet markets and that we lost in the stable coin.

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Volume is on stable coin.

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That was originally Omni.

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That was originally MasterCoin.

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This was originally all these were Bitcoin projects.

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Ethereum. This was a Bitcoin project.

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These were all big.

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All these were Bitcoin projects.

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But we started losing them.

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And although in the past people would have a big conversation about it,

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like when Ethereum came out, it was taken for granted.

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Everyone said in 2015, we will just do sidechains.

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We will have smart contracts on Bitcoin.

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There was like Rootstock is the answer to this.

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Blockstream is the answer, the answer to Ethereum.

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But now we have more and more sour grapes.

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It's harder to talk about it now than ever before,

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where someone will do something new and we'll all just sort of shrug

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and we'll say, well, we never really wanted that.

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We never really wanted privacy on Bitcoin anyway,

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even though that's something that zero percent of people would have said

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back when this stuff was first, when Zcash was first proposed

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as like zero coin on Bitcoin.

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So, Paul, latching on to some of the stuff that you just said there,

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you know, Michael Saylor's on stage waxing poetic

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about the brilliance of Bitcoin L2s and how it's going to scale Bitcoin.

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But part of what I'm understanding from what you're saying is

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the tooling for that obviously has not been prioritized.

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I mean, like you just mentioned, OP_CAT, OP_CTV, all these things

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basically got shelled and kind of overtaken by the quantum talk,

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which we can touch on in a second.

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But you also said that you are not you don't have necessarily sour grapes

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about your proposal being prioritized.

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But I think a lot of people would say

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it seems like you're jumping the queue to get it put in by hard forking.

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What would you say to that criticism?

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Well, yeah, the queue is moving too slow.

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But I mean, I proposed it in November 2015.

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So how how much slower could it possibly get?

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I just I don't understand like what.

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00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:25,280
And then it's it's not I don't think like if there were any evidence

239
00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:30,680
the queue worked, then that would be easier to like agree with.

240
00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:33,440
But I think OP_CAT really is the smoking gun.

241
00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:35,400
It says there's this tiny, tiny thing.

242
00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:37,440
It basically does nothing.

243
00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:40,280
It just takes X, Y and puts X, Y on the stack.

244
00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,120
And it was in the original version.

245
00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:47,280
People have by now, if someone had said there was stuff about like stack,

246
00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,680
you know, elements, stack size by now, if anyone had any kind of problem with it,

247
00:11:51,680 --> 00:11:53,960
you know, it would have been very, very, very easy to.

248
00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,360
This is like the perfect candidate.

249
00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,800
And a lot of people had had enormous support from all the roll up

250
00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:02,800
Stark Stark where guys and they have lots of money.

251
00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,520
So it's kind of like what is the problem?

252
00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:08,840
You know, it's not just empirical.

253
00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:12,040
Like I've talked to many a lot of these people are very good friends of mine.

254
00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:15,320
Like so even when back in the era of scaling one, scaling two, scaling three,

255
00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:18,560
this was like 2015, 2016 we were talking to.

256
00:12:18,560 --> 00:12:22,280
So like I don't want to like necessarily name any names, but like one of the biggest

257
00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:26,000
people in the space who you guys should interview and he's a super nice guy

258
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,120
and he's super experienced, Eric Lombroso.

259
00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:30,560
He was talking about how like we used to do.

260
00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:34,640
He and I agree completely about like we used to do these soft forks all the time.

261
00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:36,760
They were never controversial.

262
00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:40,480
In my view, the op code soft fork should be treated exactly the same

263
00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:41,800
as any other pull request.

264
00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:45,160
It's just a tiny detail that you have to have 51 percent

265
00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:48,600
hash rate upgrade before people can safely use it.

266
00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:53,520
But there's a tiny, tiny detail that does not mean anything.

267
00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:56,840
It just means that there'll be a little flag in the software

268
00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,240
and because the miners will periodically update.

269
00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:01,160
You know, maybe they don't update as fast as people like.

270
00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:04,200
I think that's great that they don't update because why screw up?

271
00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:05,960
You know who does think of all those people?

272
00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:07,000
Like when do you update your phone?

273
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:08,720
When do you do like Windows update or whatever?

274
00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:12,560
Everyone's like we got normal people like installing special weird stuff

275
00:13:12,560 --> 00:13:15,200
on their computer to stop it from upgrading because it's so annoying.

276
00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:18,560
But eventually, you know, when you set up a new thing, you upgrade.

277
00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:23,480
So we can't do the soft fork and it's become political

278
00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:27,240
purely as a consequence of the scaling of what happened with SegWit.

279
00:13:27,680 --> 00:13:29,960
This is all this is deranged nonsense.

280
00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:33,440
That is not a shred of truth or value in it at all.

281
00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,040
And it's just an excuse for everyone to just start weighing in.

282
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,240
And the whole thing is is crazy.

283
00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,320
And that's that's what you see what I mean.

284
00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:43,600
It's not just about not having BIP300 like my favorite little BIP that I wrote.

285
00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:47,480
It's like this is the community that we're in.

286
00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:50,760
You've shown up to a community and it's it's full of people

287
00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,200
who make their decisions in an insane way.

288
00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:57,320
So how many other decisions are being made with this screwed up logic?

289
00:13:57,320 --> 00:14:00,720
And I actually wrote a long post called The Derangements of Bitcoin,

290
00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:05,920
where I just listed something like 40 or 50 bizarre decisions we have made.

291
00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,520
These are include like, you know, prioritizing the Lightning Network

292
00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:10,320
like near the top.

293
00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,800
But then I have all kinds of minor bizarre ones also.

294
00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,480
Like there's no BIP 39 word list in Bitcoin Core.

295
00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:16,720
Like what? Like, why not?

296
00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:18,920
Like it's all just so I have an endless list.

297
00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,800
You can check out my post, The Derangements of Bitcoin, where I just.

298
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:26,040
And that is not BIP 39 is not secure, even though everyone uses it.

299
00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:27,880
Yeah, it's like I guess.

300
00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:29,240
Yeah, the ship has sailed on that.

301
00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:32,120
And they say, well, we need it needs to have like a version number or something.

302
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:35,440
Yeah. And it's like not really, because it's just a way of converting integers

303
00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,320
to phrases. So it doesn't really need a version number.

304
00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:41,720
Not it's not like mission critical, but that's the logic.

305
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:46,160
So I want to ask you some specifics about the fork,

306
00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,000
and I think it's kind of interesting.

307
00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:53,800
A lot of there's a like how the fork actually happens is is pretty interesting.

308
00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,040
That can be you can go a bunch of ways.

309
00:14:56,400 --> 00:15:02,320
I was looking through your your Q&A and it looks like so for ETA this summer,

310
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,640
I think it's like August, is it?

311
00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:06,440
Yes. Late August. OK.

312
00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,120
OK, August. And then at the moment of the fork,

313
00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,920
we have to figure out how the how the network produces blocks.

314
00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:19,400
And you are doing a one time difficulty reset to the minimum difficulty value.

315
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:24,480
Explain why what that is and why you chose to do it that way.

316
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,760
Well, I have to say, like maybe minimum might be like the minimum asterisk,

317
00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:32,320
because, of course, there's like the CPU era and then there's like the ASIC era.

318
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,560
So but what I'm basically thinking is like if you had like a hundred block

319
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,000
or something like you've had like very, very, very, very, very low investment in
mining

320
00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,600
and you how what would it take to find like a block every like five minutes

321
00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:44,200
or something like that?

322
00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:46,880
So what I mean is I'm cutting it way, way, way down.

323
00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:49,560
And there's going to be a lot of chaos at the moment of the fork.

324
00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:50,520
Probably a lot of right.

325
00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:54,120
I mean, won't won't just a bunch of miners rev up a few older ASICs?

326
00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,280
And then basically my that's what I'm hoping will happen.

327
00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,520
Because I don't know what the it's a cost benefit analysis.

328
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,360
And I don't you know, if you hit it too high, you'll never find any blocks.

329
00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:07,520
And it could like kill the project on its first day when it's getting a lot of
attention

330
00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:10,720
and maybe a lot of so it has to be much better to have too many blocks

331
00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,680
than too few in this case.

332
00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:18,440
I don't think there's anything bad at all about like the finding like two or three

333
00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,520
thousand blocks in like one day.

334
00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,240
It just means the difficulty will ramp up.

335
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,480
You got to find the equilibrium somehow.

336
00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:27,760
And what is the situation in which you have like two miners

337
00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:30,960
basically just orbiting each other's chains?

338
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:35,160
You could, but I think that is not.

339
00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,760
Well, yeah, first of all, there will be like full display, like as I've just said,

340
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:41,040
like I expect chaos, like the week of the fork.

341
00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,720
So it will not six confirmations will not be enough.

342
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,120
And it will have you kind of have to wait.

343
00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:51,480
Really, the network will be unusable until, you know, the until hash rate
stabilizes.

344
00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:57,640
And there's something like one every ten, between 30 and three minutes.

345
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:01,440
But but it will, you know, I'm not sure.

346
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:05,800
Theoretically, yes, it makes it easier for but it depends on how many people get
involved.

347
00:17:06,120 --> 00:17:09,560
So if a lot of people are getting involved, they may try to reorg each other.

348
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:15,000
Think about even though from a block's point of view, it might look completely
insane.

349
00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:18,440
But from a human point of view, I don't think it really will look that insane.

350
00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,760
It will be like a really weird day and then maybe another second really weird day

351
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:29,840
during which you will probably not like you won't reliably count yourself as having
received money for,

352
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,840
you know, you'll be like, I need to wait like until whatever, until Friday or
something,

353
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:36,600
you know, to make sure that this because this is just the network is in a bizarre
state right now.

354
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,000
It's just coming into existence.

355
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:42,720
And so, you know, it will be strange, but it won't be.

356
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:45,600
It won't it's not like it'll be like ruined for months.

357
00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,000
It'll just be like this weird piece of time.

358
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:52,320
And eventually someone will jump like, you know, whatever, like five hundred
thousand blocks ahead.

359
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:57,880
And it may be sad, but I do think usually the proof of work works just fine,

360
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:02,960
where usually people just shrug and they say, well, we gave it a try, but it's time
to fold

361
00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:08,840
because if we fold and join the longest chain right now, we can just we can go back
to finding blocks on it.

362
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:12,200
So I think it will work out because of Satoshi's design is very good.

363
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:17,520
But we'll find out that we'll be pushing it, obviously, to some extreme in this
particular case.

364
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:23,640
Well, so on that last note, I have to ask, I mean, are you going to be doing
outreach to mining pools and miners

365
00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:25,920
trying to get support for mining this thing?

366
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:30,240
I think that actually that is sort of the tail wagging the dog, right?

367
00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,360
Like people tried to do that before and they didn't succeed at all.

368
00:18:33,360 --> 00:18:39,920
And I told them so this was back in SegWit2x and I told, you know, it's very
bizarre with SegWit2x.

369
00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:44,440
If that had been a soft fork with 83 percent of the hash power, it would have
certainly succeeded

370
00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:48,400
and there would have been nothing that the and so the entire scaling war would have
been a completely different outcome.

371
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:52,040
But instead, they tried to do this hard fork and they try to say, we'll get
commitments from people.

372
00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:58,240
All the miners backed out because what it ends up being is it's a commitment to
losing money in that particular case.

373
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:03,240
So I just think in this case, you just said you said the difficulty low so the
miners can make money.

374
00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:11,560
And then you try, you know, it's going to be the market price on one hand and then
the difficulty, like the imputed price,

375
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,120
you know, the imputed cost from the difficulty.

376
00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:21,320
So, you know, you can have two networks or one is like, you know, say, for example,
let's compare BTC and Bitcoin SV.

377
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:26,760
And, you know, BTC is super, super high price, but super high difficulty.

378
00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:29,000
So you subtract and this is the profit.

379
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,280
And then you could also have Bitcoin SV, very low price.

380
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:36,920
Everyone hates it, but then very low difficulty.

381
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:43,360
And then those two could have like a very similar, you know, profit margin or hash
price or whatever people would be saying today.

382
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,680
And so you just have to make sure that difference is OK.

383
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:53,160
And yeah, that's the that's basically the logic is like so like a commitment doesn't
mean anything compared to what that number is.

384
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,360
So if that number is there, people will mine.

385
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,600
If the number is not there, people will back out of the commitment.

386
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:04,520
So the answer is kind of no, although I hope that, you know, as people find out
about it, some miners are like the contact with questions.

387
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:10,400
They say, what algorithm is this, which is the same as Bitcoin, SHA256D and stuff
like that.

388
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,560
So I think but it will all be driven by, you know, the price.

389
00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:28,560
And if there's an actual if there's actual value to this to this idea or any of the
arguments or if there's people believe me that a competitor to Bitcoin is important
and valuable thing to help make sure that we're not, you know, making too many
mistakes that we never correct in BTC world.

390
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:31,720
One last question about the details.

391
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:32,760
It looks like yes.

392
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:36,360
So you tweet you have, quote, seven Drivechains in development right now.

393
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:42,240
You kind of gave a little teaser, you know, like a Zcash styles Drivechain, like a
prediction markets Drivechain.

394
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:44,280
You've been a big prediction markets guy for a long time.

395
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,880
Great to see that very, very validated today.

396
00:20:47,360 --> 00:20:50,280
They're just not really on block chains necessarily.

397
00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:51,120
Right. Yes.

398
00:20:51,120 --> 00:20:51,960
I wanted to change that.

399
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:59,840
And so what I proposed for prediction markets back in 2013, it was much better in
many ways than what you have today with calcium Polymarket.

400
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:01,960
I'm actually multidimensional markets.

401
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:09,800
First of all, also, you know, everyone can thank me for the automated market makers
or stuff that was invented by Robin Hanson, who wrote a paper in 2002.

402
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,400
But almost no one on the Internet could understand this paper.

403
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,720
And I had to scour the Internet for alternate explanations.

404
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,760
But he invented and so did Max Keiser.

405
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:23,040
Max Keiser had a different version that he called the virtual specialists in the
90s.

406
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:29,440
But it was Robin Hanson's logarithmic market scoring rule and this cross product
market scoring rule.

407
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:35,520
I put that in the Truthcoin white paper, which was about Bitcoin prediction markets
in 2013, 2014.

408
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:41,920
And then I was showing that around to the people at the time like this was like Dan
Larimer or Vitalik Buterin or whatever.

409
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:45,120
And that's how it escaped containment and made it into Ethereum and got big.

410
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:48,040
So a lot of this stuff is suggested by me.

411
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:59,040
But yeah, the cool thing that I also wrote into the Truthcoin white paper was the
decentralized oracle, which is a problem that a lot of people thought could not
possibly be solved because it's an incentive where

412
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,680
everyone has a reason to lie about the outcome.

413
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:05,680
So you can trade against the real outcome and just extract all the money.

414
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:10,360
So there's a situation where you don't know how many people there are and everyone
has an incentive to lie.

415
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:12,920
But I wrote this paper about the peer to peer oracle.

416
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:16,600
And even we had old people, you know, we had.

417
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:24,080
So if you go to BitcoinHiveMind.com, I still have the very old endorsements up there
from 2015, which are like Peter Todd, Andrew Polstra.

418
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,320
We got like Roger Veres up there.

419
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:34,960
So it's like so you can see I was very proud of achieving that because this is the
truly decentralized prediction market that can't be shut off.

420
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:41,320
And this can hit some this could hit some categories that are too taboo even for
Cauchy and Polymarket to hit.

421
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:42,760
And they would just live immortally.

422
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,000
So that was what I proposed a long time ago.

423
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:49,320
So this is another reason why I'm kind of like sitting around and you're looking at
Bitcoin.

424
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:51,520
Now, of course, Bitcoin has done very, very, very well.

425
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,640
You know, the price has skyrocketed.

426
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:56,000
We have changed the world.

427
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:57,040
We've changed the culture.

428
00:22:57,040 --> 00:23:02,000
We have the president coming to speak in 2024 at the conference.

429
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:04,800
So we've changed a lot.

430
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,080
You know, we've we've been a big success.

431
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:12,120
But really, there's all this other stuff that we could be doing, like whatever
happened to the Namecoin project.

432
00:23:12,120 --> 00:23:16,000
And then this is fractured into other stuff, you know, like what's it called?

433
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:19,320
Like I forget, but there's many different ones like Handshake.

434
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:20,040
Right. Isn't that one?

435
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:24,080
And even like Michael Saylor tried to do decentralized identity with Orange.

436
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:30,560
But then he realized, oh, he realized, you know, he showed up and he was like, he
thought this was a real technology industry where people did things.

437
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:33,360
But then he looked around and he was like, oh, I'm not supposed to do anything here.

438
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:34,640
This is part of the problem.

439
00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:40,840
Yeah. OK, so I got to throw a couple hard questions in because you said, you know,
people are afraid to talk about the taboo.

440
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:45,880
Let's talk about the money, because there are investors in this.

441
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:47,440
You did pass the hat around.

442
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:49,720
Right. There's people who are invested in the fork.

443
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,760
Can you talk about this?

444
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,440
Can you talk about the reason, rationale and your mindset behind raising money?

445
00:23:55,440 --> 00:24:04,040
And then, of course, you're forking and giving out the eCash tokens that would
otherwise have gone to Satoshi.

446
00:24:04,360 --> 00:24:05,200
Discuss this.

447
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:10,920
Yes. Yeah, this has been like a huge like people are very, very interested in this.

448
00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:14,280
And some of them seem to think it's like some huge knockdown argument.

449
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:21,880
So one thing to emphasize is we have a second version that does not have any
financing and does not reassign any coins.

450
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,600
And it doesn't absolutely none of these things.

451
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:28,840
And it still brings all of the same L2 technology to Bitcoin.

452
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:33,440
And it doesn't actually change Bitcoin into a hard fork.

453
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,720
And it doesn't involve any code changes in Bitcoin Core.

454
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,240
That second version is just what BIP300 is.

455
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:41,320
That's what BIP300 is, spend the whole time.

456
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:43,840
So there's this alternative this whole time.

457
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:55,760
Now, I think part of it also, as you can see, I knew from the block size war that
doing the fork involves a lot of people weighing in with their opinion who have no
skin in the game.

458
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:56,640
And it is.

459
00:24:56,925 --> 00:24:58,925
It is an upset. It does disturb, you know, you're a disturber of the peace.

460
00:24:58,925 --> 00:25:07,925
It's like when Gandalf is labeled the disturber of the peace at the beginning of
Lord of the Rings and the little farm guys mad at all the kids want the fireworks
and that type of thing.

461
00:25:07,925 --> 00:25:11,925
Yeah. So it's like you've been labeled. That's exactly what has happened, of course.

462
00:25:11,925 --> 00:25:15,925
So there's the thing about that is there's a kind of stigma for supporting the fork.

463
00:25:15,925 --> 00:25:31,925
And I knew that we had to change reality, like even if we just changed the reality
and we set the precedent that says, if you try to improve Bitcoin, because right now
the precedent is if you try to improve Bitcoin, you go to up next and then people
write an article that says, don't break Bitcoin.

464
00:25:31,925 --> 00:25:34,925
And but nothing happens. And it's really miserable.

465
00:25:35,925 --> 00:25:42,925
And like people like Jeremy Rubin also, they put out CTV activation client and then
he quit after a day and he quit.

466
00:25:42,925 --> 00:25:47,925
Not only did he quit CTV, but he quit all software. He quit all Bitcoin development.

467
00:25:47,925 --> 00:25:51,925
So far as I know, he quit all computer science development for like a year and a
half.

468
00:25:52,925 --> 00:26:08,925
And then he so like it's we have to change that so that it says, as the story more
goes, if you propose an idea for Bitcoin that has some merit in the world where you
have some possibility of adding value, then you can get millions of dollars.

469
00:26:08,925 --> 00:26:20,925
So that's part of the flip. And it's also partly to say like these people who are
haters, they are not you know, it's there's a big difference between people putting
their money around.

470
00:26:20,925 --> 00:26:34,925
Because like what makes a good investment is it has to look like a bad investment,
but it has to be a good idea, because if everyone knows that it's a good idea, you
know, it's like people say like this is like people would come up to me from time to
time and they'd say this has nothing to do with Bitcoin.

471
00:26:34,925 --> 00:26:39,925
But it's like, oh, they asked for my advice with investing because I know I have
like a background in economics, like as if that's going to help.

472
00:26:39,925 --> 00:26:45,925
But they say like, oh, like I love Apple, so I'm going to buy some Apple stock or
something.

473
00:26:45,925 --> 00:26:48,925
Or they say, oh, I think Elon is smart, but it doesn't matter.

474
00:26:48,925 --> 00:26:51,925
This is just like with the difficulty in the market price.

475
00:26:51,925 --> 00:26:55,925
The current stock price could maybe be too high on a popular company.

476
00:26:55,925 --> 00:27:00,925
And then many unpopular companies that might be on death's door, there might be a
buy because the price is so low.

477
00:27:01,925 --> 00:27:08,925
So to make the investment good, it has to appear unpopular and it has to appear
unpopular, but actually have a lot of merit.

478
00:27:08,925 --> 00:27:12,925
So that is partially like on purpose, I think.

479
00:27:12,925 --> 00:27:14,925
Wait, hang on.

480
00:27:14,925 --> 00:27:23,925
So are you maybe I'm misconstruing this, but you're saying part of the reason why
you want to dole out the eCash equivalent of Satoshi's coins is because it's
unpopular.

481
00:27:23,925 --> 00:27:25,925
Well, you look at how it like it triggered people.

482
00:27:25,925 --> 00:27:27,925
It got everyone to talk about it.

483
00:27:28,925 --> 00:27:30,925
Sorry, just to interject one more time.

484
00:27:30,925 --> 00:27:34,925
Can you understand why a lot of people are uncomfortable with this part of the
proposal?

485
00:27:34,925 --> 00:27:41,925
Because ultimately, the eCash tokens are the private property of whoever owns those
coins, right?

486
00:27:41,925 --> 00:27:42,925
And we're just saying Satoshi.

487
00:27:42,925 --> 00:27:44,925
Precisely. No, I do understand why.

488
00:27:44,925 --> 00:27:48,925
And I even understand why everyone uses the phrase steal Satoshi's coins.

489
00:27:48,925 --> 00:27:50,925
I'll defend you with that one.

490
00:27:50,925 --> 00:27:54,925
I mean, technically, but it's like people think that it's the Bitcoin.

491
00:27:54,925 --> 00:27:56,925
People think that it's the Bitcoin.

492
00:27:56,925 --> 00:28:03,925
Well, let me fully flesh this out, because obviously this has been people have been
like so obsessed more than I could have ever.

493
00:28:03,925 --> 00:28:12,925
I mean, I thought that there would be some element of this, but I had no idea that
this would be like the huge thing that would like send this into like millions of
commentary.

494
00:28:12,925 --> 00:28:16,925
So it's true that we're not actually taking any Satoshi's coins.

495
00:28:16,925 --> 00:28:22,925
And I suppose it's theoretically true that I could probably sue people for slander
because it's like they're accusing me of a criminal act or so.

496
00:28:22,925 --> 00:28:24,925
Not that I would care enough to do that.

497
00:28:24,925 --> 00:28:31,925
But there's a sense in which they are right, because in Bitcoin, we don't people in
Bitcoin.

498
00:28:31,925 --> 00:28:34,925
We don't think of Bitcoin as purely.

499
00:28:34,925 --> 00:28:40,925
I'm not sure how to phrase this, but it's kind of like we assert that we assert
something about the common good with Bitcoin.

500
00:28:40,925 --> 00:28:45,925
Like a lot of people see Bitcoin as like a common civilization wide project.

501
00:28:45,925 --> 00:28:50,925
And so it's not just like, oh, Paul does this, whatever.

502
00:28:50,925 --> 00:28:52,925
Like Chris does this. Jeff does the whatever.

503
00:28:52,925 --> 00:28:56,925
You know, and it's like there's this idea of what's best for everyone.

504
00:28:56,925 --> 00:28:58,925
And it's kind of like a political party.

505
00:28:58,925 --> 00:29:06,925
They don't just say usually a political party doesn't just say, like, vote for us
because we're going to steal everyone else's stuff and give it to.

506
00:29:06,925 --> 00:29:09,925
They often do this sometimes, but they don't say like that.

507
00:29:09,925 --> 00:29:14,925
A political party's message is that they are they are advocating for the public
good.

508
00:29:14,925 --> 00:29:18,925
They're saying life would be better if we.

509
00:29:18,925 --> 00:29:20,925
Improve the roads or whatever.

510
00:29:20,925 --> 00:29:23,925
So this is a sense in which is right is what I'm saying.

511
00:29:23,925 --> 00:29:30,925
Life would be better if we switched tracks to this track where Satoshi has hundreds
of thousands of fewer coins.

512
00:29:30,925 --> 00:29:33,925
So there's a sense in which they are right.

513
00:29:33,925 --> 00:29:36,925
But there are also many senses in which it's like the perfect idea.

514
00:29:36,925 --> 00:29:40,925
So, I mean, at one point, there's another issue to bring up is that.

515
00:29:40,925 --> 00:29:49,925
So, like, after I just say there's some merit to what they say, there's also there's
also like at least two more senses in which there's absolutely no merit to what they
say whatsoever.

516
00:29:49,925 --> 00:29:52,925
So the two of them would be this.

517
00:29:52,925 --> 00:29:56,925
One is that they kind of these first of all, these people are presenting themselves.

518
00:29:56,925 --> 00:30:01,925
Many of them are saying something like, well, this idea is perfect, except for this
one flaw.

519
00:30:01,925 --> 00:30:02,925
Taking Satoshi's coins.

520
00:30:02,925 --> 00:30:06,925
What we know perfectly well, these people would have criticized BIP300.

521
00:30:06,925 --> 00:30:07,925
They probably would have criticized OP_CAT.

522
00:30:07,925 --> 00:30:09,925
They would have criticized like Operturn.

523
00:30:09,925 --> 00:30:12,925
Some of these people just criticize all kinds of stuff.

524
00:30:12,925 --> 00:30:16,925
They would have hated any hard fork under any circumstances.

525
00:30:17,925 --> 00:30:29,925
And so the premise that they would, you know, what they're what they're representing
is like as if the project would be improved and they would become a supporter.

526
00:30:29,925 --> 00:30:34,925
If I if I just change this one part back, I think we know that that's completely
untrue.

527
00:30:34,925 --> 00:30:40,925
And the fact that they even talk as if it's true, I think it says a lot about like
how poorly thought out like with their own positions.

528
00:30:40,925 --> 00:30:43,925
But speaking of that, my second point, I mean, I have more points even than that.

529
00:30:43,925 --> 00:30:48,925
But the second point is that these people are kind of they want to have it both
ways.

530
00:30:48,925 --> 00:30:51,925
They want to say, well, this is a worthless fork that everyone should ignore.

531
00:30:51,925 --> 00:30:56,925
It's going to be worth zero, in which case Satoshi doesn't lose anything at all.

532
00:30:56,925 --> 00:31:02,925
The coins they have to equivocate on how valuable they think this property is that
I'm supposedly depriving Satoshi of.

533
00:31:02,925 --> 00:31:07,925
They think, oh, this fork is going to be a huge success and all this is going to be
worth a ton of money.

534
00:31:07,925 --> 00:31:10,925
And then it's like, oh, that's what Satoshi is losing.

535
00:31:10,925 --> 00:31:12,925
So these people kind of want to have it all the different ways.

536
00:31:12,925 --> 00:31:14,925
It's just an example of how just people complain.

537
00:31:14,925 --> 00:31:20,925
And, you know, I think everyone should emulate this task instead of launching new
altcoins.

538
00:31:20,925 --> 00:31:28,925
We should have lots of this is cuts the splits the difference between like
privatizing the sidechain, which is like what an altcoin does.

539
00:31:28,925 --> 00:31:35,925
And they say, well, launch this, you know, something like a Solana or whatever,
where A16Z has like 20 percent of the whole supply.

540
00:31:35,925 --> 00:31:39,925
But Bitcoiners get nothing. We should do this more in Bitcoin.

541
00:31:39,925 --> 00:31:47,925
I'm trying to set the example that we should do this because, you know, we have the
situation where all Bitcoiners get free coins, including Satoshi.

542
00:31:47,925 --> 00:31:51,925
Everyone gets free stuff. And then the founder has some reason.

543
00:31:51,925 --> 00:31:53,925
But there are even more reasons for that as to why I did it.

544
00:31:53,925 --> 00:31:56,925
Some of them are that the hard fork is very hard. You have to coordinate people in
advance.

545
00:31:56,925 --> 00:32:00,925
The network effects are very strong. You need to hit the ground running with like a
new team.

546
00:32:00,925 --> 00:32:03,925
Like kind of on day one, you want to have all the software.

547
00:32:03,925 --> 00:32:06,925
Is it better to do a hard fork and say we're going to do this software later?

548
00:32:06,925 --> 00:32:11,925
When will that software be finished? And so then a lot of stuff will have happened
in between.

549
00:32:11,925 --> 00:32:15,925
So there are lots and lots and lots of reasons why this was a very, very, very
clever decision.

550
00:32:15,925 --> 00:32:20,925
But, yeah, it does appear superficially to go against the property rights idea of
Bitcoin.

551
00:32:20,925 --> 00:32:22,925
And so that's, I think, why people have tried to latch on.

552
00:32:22,925 --> 00:32:25,925
These are people who would have criticized anything about it that they thought they
could get away with.

553
00:32:25,925 --> 00:32:32,925
And so it's all yeah. Yeah. I mean, I'm empathetic to the reality that you just
can't have like the cold start.

554
00:32:33,925 --> 00:32:36,925
It's just impossible to have a perfect cold start to a blockchain these days.

555
00:32:36,925 --> 00:32:42,925
You can't recreate how Bitcoin emerged. Colin, I think you had another hard
question.

556
00:32:42,925 --> 00:32:47,925
Yeah, I have one last hard question, Paul. So maybe this would be better as a
closer.

557
00:32:47,925 --> 00:32:52,925
I'll just go ahead and throw it in. A lot of hard forks have failed.

558
00:32:52,925 --> 00:32:55,925
In fact, every single one of them. Yeah, I would agree.

559
00:32:55,925 --> 00:32:58,925
Outside of, you know, edge case early on.

560
00:32:58,925 --> 00:33:02,925
The cash is still going along, but it's but it failed in the sense of like it
didn't.

561
00:33:02,925 --> 00:33:06,925
None of them replaced Bitcoin. None of them actually have anywhere close to the
market share.

562
00:33:06,925 --> 00:33:09,925
You know that I already know that. And I'm trying to do it anyway.

563
00:33:09,925 --> 00:33:12,925
Right. Well, so that's why I want to ask, like, what makes you think this was going
to succeed?

564
00:33:12,925 --> 00:33:15,925
And kind of a second part to this question, similar to the mining pool one.

565
00:33:15,925 --> 00:33:20,925
Are you going to be doing outreach to exchanges and market makers to assure that
there is a market?

566
00:33:20,925 --> 00:33:24,925
Well, yes, a little bit. But I think. OK, well, first things first.

567
00:33:24,925 --> 00:33:33,925
So the what if we had to make a list of all the serious hard forks, I think it would
only be BCH, really, because Bitcoin SV was a hard fork of BCH.

568
00:33:33,925 --> 00:33:36,925
And it was also, you know, it's crazy. Craig is a crazy person.

569
00:33:36,925 --> 00:33:39,925
And everyone, you know, everyone like it was all just a bunch of nonsense.

570
00:33:39,925 --> 00:33:47,925
But I think some of these people have later acquired teams that where they thought,
well, we can make this work somehow.

571
00:33:47,925 --> 00:33:56,925
But I think Bitcoin Cash actually was something of a success in that when it
launched, when it was mainstreamed, when it first came out in August.

572
00:33:56,925 --> 00:34:01,925
Not when it first came out in August, it was ignored because SegWit2x was still
being done at the time.

573
00:34:01,925 --> 00:34:09,925
But then later in November, when it was like debuted, when they canceled SegWit2x,
it rose to become number two on CoinMarketCap.

574
00:34:09,925 --> 00:34:15,925
And when it hit number two on CoinMarketCap, it was 15 percent of BTC's price.

575
00:34:15,925 --> 00:34:17,925
The infamous flippening event.

576
00:34:17,925 --> 00:34:21,925
Right. And that was how I got that quote that that tweet is a congrats on this.

577
00:34:21,925 --> 00:34:29,925
Seriously, that kind of became a meme for a short time after that, where people
would just say congrats on this seriously about like random things, which is funny.

578
00:34:29,925 --> 00:34:36,925
So if it debuted today at 15 percent of BTC's price, which is certainly not, you
know, I'm not guaranteeing that or even whatever.

579
00:34:36,925 --> 00:34:40,925
But I'm just saying if it did the exact same thing that Bitcoin Cash did, that would
put it like number three.

580
00:34:40,925 --> 00:34:43,925
It would be like next to Ethereum sort of now.

581
00:34:43,925 --> 00:34:46,925
And Bitcoin Cash flippened in hashrate too.

582
00:34:46,925 --> 00:34:49,925
They were neck and neck for like a week or two there.

583
00:34:49,925 --> 00:34:53,925
Yeah. And there's a lot of stuff that went on in the background with Bitmain
swapping machines over.

584
00:34:53,925 --> 00:34:56,925
And Jihan Wu supported that fork a lot.

585
00:34:56,925 --> 00:34:57,925
He did.

586
00:34:57,925 --> 00:35:00,925
I don't know if we would call that organic.

587
00:35:00,925 --> 00:35:03,925
Is that winning or is that an attempted coup?

588
00:35:03,925 --> 00:35:05,925
Right. I mean, I think that that's an open question.

589
00:35:05,925 --> 00:35:13,925
Well, I think Bitcoin Cash was, you know, I had a lot of friends who are large
blockers, but I've sent emails at the time and I sent public statements.

590
00:35:13,925 --> 00:35:19,925
And I was on there was a SegWit2x list where they surveyed all these technical
people to say, how do you feel about SegWit2x?

591
00:35:19,925 --> 00:35:22,925
Basically, everyone said, don't do it, including me.

592
00:35:22,925 --> 00:35:24,925
I said it wouldn't work. So I was on this list.

593
00:35:24,925 --> 00:35:29,925
This was long before this was like after it came out in like whatever, May or June
2017.

594
00:35:29,925 --> 00:35:31,925
So I was always a small blocker.

595
00:35:31,925 --> 00:35:33,925
I'm in favor of small blocks on L1.

596
00:35:33,925 --> 00:35:35,925
That's different, completely different from L2.

597
00:35:35,925 --> 00:35:38,925
So when Bitcoin Cash came out, I said, well, this is a bad idea, actually.

598
00:35:38,925 --> 00:35:43,925
Hard forking once from one megabyte to eight megabytes.

599
00:35:43,925 --> 00:35:45,925
That just kicks the can down the road.

600
00:35:45,925 --> 00:35:53,925
And so I think this is more like a BIP300 is more of like a kind of permanent idea
because it's built into it.

601
00:35:53,925 --> 00:35:56,925
The idea that you have these new L2s that would compete.

602
00:35:56,925 --> 00:36:00,925
And so any idea that you might want later, you can still get within the paradigm.

603
00:36:00,925 --> 00:36:06,925
Bitcoin Cash also like it decided to just like make all these other changes.

604
00:36:06,925 --> 00:36:10,925
Let's like these assert zero bugs like, you know what I mean?

605
00:36:10,925 --> 00:36:13,925
Like they would fork Bitcoin and then they start changing every line of code.

606
00:36:13,925 --> 00:36:16,925
So someone should go back and do this research project.

607
00:36:16,925 --> 00:36:20,925
But at one point, I think it was maybe March 2018.

608
00:36:20,925 --> 00:36:26,925
I tried to look and there was something like 30,000 lines of code had been changed
from Bitcoin Cash to BTC,

609
00:36:27,925 --> 00:36:33,925
including like renaming various variables were named like Blockstream, block size
limit, like a silly stuff like that.

610
00:36:33,925 --> 00:36:36,925
This all this makes it really hard to do like the code diff or whatever.

611
00:36:36,925 --> 00:36:43,925
My conception is completely different where, again, I'm hard forking specifically to
create a competing coin.

612
00:36:43,925 --> 00:36:48,925
But the L1 software is going to stay equivalent to Bitcoin Core.

613
00:36:48,925 --> 00:36:54,925
So I think that actually a lot of this stuff I did a little research project where
you could track.

614
00:36:54,925 --> 00:37:01,925
I said, if the coins were like third parties and you just measured BTC, Ethereum and
this coin.

615
00:37:02,925 --> 00:37:05,925
And then you plot them over the time that they came out.

616
00:37:06,925 --> 00:37:10,925
This is maybe a little confusing, but basically I had so as the candidate, you know,

617
00:37:10,925 --> 00:37:14,925
as the kind of like what you might call like the independent variable or whatever.

618
00:37:14,925 --> 00:37:21,925
I was like, so you either do BTC, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash or BTC, Ethereum, Solana or
like Avalanche.

619
00:37:21,925 --> 00:37:24,925
I did like a little list of coins and you can plot.

620
00:37:24,925 --> 00:37:29,925
How did they do as a percentage of the market cap over their first like year or two
years?

621
00:37:29,925 --> 00:37:34,925
Bitcoin Cash does by far better than Solana, than Cardano, than all these other
things.

622
00:37:34,925 --> 00:37:38,925
So even though I was not a supporter of Bitcoin Cash, I think it did do very well.

623
00:37:38,925 --> 00:37:43,925
I have a couple other points of data if you're interested, which is that one was for
all.

624
00:37:43,925 --> 00:37:48,925
I think people are much louder when they want to do their little commentary.

625
00:37:48,925 --> 00:37:51,925
But really, the UTXO sets don't diverge.

626
00:37:51,925 --> 00:37:59,925
So about a year after Bitcoin Cash had hard forked, more than half of the UTXOs were
the same.

627
00:37:59,925 --> 00:38:01,925
Still a year afterwards.

628
00:38:01,925 --> 00:38:05,925
And this was a year after this was like, you know, that might have been a million
years afterwards

629
00:38:05,925 --> 00:38:10,925
because so many people weighed in like the same week or like right after and people
are buying and selling their coins.

630
00:38:11,925 --> 00:38:16,925
It also includes a situation where maybe if you wanted to sell 10 percent of your
Bitcoin Cash, for example,

631
00:38:16,925 --> 00:38:18,925
you have to split the whole UTXO.

632
00:38:18,925 --> 00:38:24,925
So it would look as though you'd split like a whole UTXO of maybe if you have seven
coins there.

633
00:38:24,925 --> 00:38:26,925
But really, you only sold a little bit.

634
00:38:26,925 --> 00:38:31,925
So I really think that there's like a couple more points I could mention about that.

635
00:38:31,925 --> 00:38:38,925
But overall, I think people, the Bitcoin owner is very happy to just keep all the
coins and say,

636
00:38:38,925 --> 00:38:44,925
you know what, these technologists are feuding and I'm just going to take all the
coins

637
00:38:44,925 --> 00:38:49,925
and I'm going to keep them in a giant pile like Smaug the dragon and they're just
going to lie on all the coins.

638
00:38:49,925 --> 00:38:58,925
So everyone's got an opinion because what the hard fork does is it says it's a hard
fork is being loyal to the Bitcoin owner.

639
00:38:58,925 --> 00:39:02,925
It says, I'll give you credit for all your coins for free.

640
00:39:02,925 --> 00:39:04,925
And but what is it disloyal to?

641
00:39:04,925 --> 00:39:07,925
It's a challenge to Bitcoin core.

642
00:39:07,925 --> 00:39:10,925
It's a challenge to the media environment.

643
00:39:10,925 --> 00:39:14,925
It's saying, well, I have a culture, you know, it's saying these people, you know,

644
00:39:14,925 --> 00:39:20,925
so it's kind of an insult to Bitcoin core or at least introduces competition, which
is no fun.

645
00:39:20,925 --> 00:39:25,925
Like what if I said, oh, I'm going to I told you guys I'm going to start my own like
mining podcast and whatever.

646
00:39:25,925 --> 00:39:29,925
And you'd be like, well, wait, another competitor that I have to deal with.

647
00:39:29,925 --> 00:39:33,925
But but there's this difference between who is it competing with?

648
00:39:33,925 --> 00:39:38,925
And those people would obviously have some kind of problem with it, especially on
the off chance that it succeeds.

649
00:39:38,925 --> 00:39:40,925
Because what would the history books say?

650
00:39:40,925 --> 00:39:43,925
Then then no one would be listening to them and everyone would listen to me.

651
00:39:43,925 --> 00:39:47,925
And I would say, well, I propose this idea in 2015 and then they didn't do it.

652
00:39:47,925 --> 00:39:50,925
And so then after I did it, I was proven right.

653
00:39:50,925 --> 00:39:54,925
And they you know, it was all a big waste of time what they were doing.

654
00:39:54,925 --> 00:40:00,925
You do bring up a good point, which I will wrap this up with, because we do.

655
00:40:00,925 --> 00:40:02,925
We have to get on to the rest of our news.

656
00:40:02,925 --> 00:40:07,925
You do present a good angle, which is it does challenge the media because I'm
sitting here going like, man,

657
00:40:07,925 --> 00:40:15,925
if Paul succeeds and this fork really rips, like, can we have Paul on the podcast
anymore?

658
00:40:15,925 --> 00:40:17,925
I'll keep coming back on the podcast, guys.

659
00:40:17,925 --> 00:40:19,925
Obviously. Yeah. Yeah.

660
00:40:19,925 --> 00:40:24,925
And I think that's it really does speak to I think like there's a lot of people who
are good, who are critics.

661
00:40:24,925 --> 00:40:28,925
But, you know, we were at the Bitcoin conference all this past week in Vegas.

662
00:40:28,925 --> 00:40:30,925
And you're still an invited person.

663
00:40:30,925 --> 00:40:35,925
You're a you're a close, long friend of a lot, you know, in the Bitcoin community.

664
00:40:35,925 --> 00:40:38,925
So I thought it really spoke to like people's like at least, you know,

665
00:40:38,925 --> 00:40:45,925
respect for you and your efforts over the past decade now of, you know, speaking
your mind, your opinions.

666
00:40:45,925 --> 00:40:50,925
I wish we had more time. I'd love to dive into the four to kill by block size of the
fork.

667
00:40:50,925 --> 00:40:53,925
But unfortunately, we got to move on, Paul.

668
00:40:53,925 --> 00:40:59,925
Where can people go to find out about this fork? Rarely do I think I let a CTA
happen for a hard.

669
00:40:59,925 --> 00:41:01,925
Where can people know about where you're trying to kill Bitcoin?

670
00:41:02,925 --> 00:41:07,925
Yeah. Well, yeah, there's the website. And then I'm I'm truth going on on Twitter.

671
00:41:07,925 --> 00:41:11,925
How did you get that domain?

672
00:41:11,925 --> 00:41:14,925
It was just available. I was thinking about what to name it.

673
00:41:14,925 --> 00:41:18,925
And I was just like, you know, it was a complete fluke. I thought you had the
mortgage.

674
00:41:18,925 --> 00:41:25,925
I got to show a competing. No, I tell the whole story on on Joel's podcast that I
recorded last.

675
00:41:25,925 --> 00:41:29,925
So I think these should hopefully end up on eCash dot com like whatever I do.

676
00:41:29,925 --> 00:41:32,925
I think I would try to put it there so that there's a repository.

677
00:41:32,925 --> 00:41:34,925
So I go into the whole story. It's just like a kind of a fluke.

678
00:41:34,925 --> 00:41:37,925
It was all available and you could just buy for a very cheap amount.

679
00:41:37,925 --> 00:41:40,925
And so that's what I did. And that's how I got the name.

680
00:41:40,925 --> 00:41:43,925
I was I had a couple of like other different names maybe in mind.

681
00:41:43,925 --> 00:41:47,925
But, yeah, so that was eCash dot com. You got to have a good name.

682
00:41:47,925 --> 00:41:50,925
And what's the other thing? Oh, the format. Yeah.

683
00:41:50,925 --> 00:41:55,925
The lowering the block size on L1. Yeah. That's to make it even more decentralized.

684
00:41:55,925 --> 00:41:59,925
Hey, it's Luke Junior approved closely.

685
00:41:59,925 --> 00:42:02,925
But you broadcast four kilobytes over ham radio.

686
00:42:02,925 --> 00:42:05,925
It wasn't that the bunker coin angle or something.

687
00:42:05,925 --> 00:42:11,925
Well, I think the idea is just just to make it so that, you know, OK, so we want
cheap full node.

688
00:42:11,925 --> 00:42:14,925
And we want like it to be easier to hide the physical location.

689
00:42:14,925 --> 00:42:17,925
So there are many benefits of smaller block size.

690
00:42:17,925 --> 00:42:22,925
And since I'm giving people access to unlimited L2 block size, we really don't need,
you know,

691
00:42:22,925 --> 00:42:25,925
you get people look at like the gold window or something like that.

692
00:42:25,925 --> 00:42:29,925
Or how many transactions Bank of International Settlements does versus the Fed,

693
00:42:29,925 --> 00:42:32,925
versus like, you know, Bank of America or something or versus Chase Manhattan.

694
00:42:32,925 --> 00:42:35,925
So we really don't need that.

695
00:42:35,925 --> 00:42:38,925
This is the issue is you kind of people again, people want to have it both ways.

696
00:42:38,925 --> 00:42:44,925
They want to say the large blockers say, oh, L1 should be, you know, everyone should
transact on L1.

697
00:42:44,925 --> 00:42:51,925
That's that's actually makes the full node very expensive and difficult to hide
physical location, et cetera, et cetera.

698
00:42:51,925 --> 00:42:55,925
But then people say, oh, people should transact on L2s.

699
00:42:55,925 --> 00:42:57,925
Well, yeah, that's that's what I believe.

700
00:42:57,925 --> 00:42:59,925
So we actually don't need when you settle on L1.

701
00:42:59,925 --> 00:43:03,925
That's kind of like, you know, when you go to the airport and you swap your dollars
for euros or something.

702
00:43:03,925 --> 00:43:07,925
You don't do that as often as when you actually pay on L2s.

703
00:43:07,925 --> 00:43:14,925
So when you pay today, like, you know, if you pay in America, it's like inside the
Fed system.

704
00:43:14,925 --> 00:43:20,925
That that's just like most of you don't have like an account at the Federal Reserve
or the Bank of International Settlements.

705
00:43:20,925 --> 00:43:21,925
Normal people don't need much.

706
00:43:21,925 --> 00:43:25,925
They're effectively on layer three or layer four like their whole lives.

707
00:43:25,925 --> 00:43:26,925
You know what I mean?

708
00:43:26,925 --> 00:43:30,925
Like they just join the commercial bank at layer three and then they just stay
there.

709
00:43:30,925 --> 00:43:38,925
They don't need to, like, have an account at what would be L1, which would be like
the Bank of International Settlements or something like that.

710
00:43:38,925 --> 00:43:41,925
So that's kind of part of the thinking behind that.

711
00:43:41,925 --> 00:43:47,925
Paul Sztorc, thank you so much for coming on the show to talk about the Stork fork.

712
00:43:47,925 --> 00:43:48,925
Thanks for having me.

713
00:43:48,925 --> 00:43:52,925
CleanSpark is a market leading data center developer with a proven track record of
success.

714
00:43:52,925 --> 00:43:54,925
NASDAQ CLSK.
